Sports bets can be very profitable if an individual know the tricks typically the “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make cash. The most significant secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a best case in point. My partner and i analyzed the particular Western world Las vegas vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West Florida had often the edge in the game. Nonetheless My partner and i also realized that there was a lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not bet on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Va or Louisville

This game has all the signals of being one regarding the greatest games regarding the year, using both teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using Western Virginia coming back from getting down major in the fourth 1 fourth to winning within overtime.

So what’s the sport search like this year?

If this video game were as played at a fairly neutral field, West Las vegas might probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since this game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense… is definitely on an unprecedented roll. Many people haven’t lost considering that July. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they missing to Virginia Tech. In the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

These kinds of are some very outstanding stats that tilt this scales in favor regarding WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, the included reward is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like substantially, but in a near match-up similar to this, that excess point might make the distinction between some sort of push and a loss.

But what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Plus if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at your home since December eighteen, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. some points for every game in your house, while averaging only leaving behind 15. 6 points for each game on home. In case a person didn’t do the mathematics, that means since their particular last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their oppositions simply by about 34 factors per game.

In addition amazing, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the particular spread, on average, by means of 13 details per activity at home considering that the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s how…

Nearly all of those stats were being piled up during the 2005 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They have already possessed recent games through which they are yet to only scored 35, twenty three, 24 points. These activities weren’t against Kansas Street. or Michigan. They will ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

In essence that will this is still a close sport to call up. Although the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s no reason to think WVU can’t have one to the low to middle 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is usually to lay off this game and definitely not bet at all. There will be better video games this saturday and sunday with more simple benefits.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty-four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to go back a good punt for a good TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s borders wasn’t so big which they may still win right after producing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this specific match, people significant with regards to gambling saved money they can offer better work with on upcoming games.



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